A morbid but valid question. How many will die in the Tribulation? If we define the Tribulation by the final 7 years we will then cover four seismic events. The Seal Judgments, Trumpets, Bowls, and the Battle of Armageddon.
The Seals themselves divide in 7 parts.
1st seal- The White Horse (The willful king, false Messiah)
2nd seal- The Red Horse (Wars break out all over the world)
3rd seal- Green Horse (Famine and economic instability)
4th seal- Black Horse (Disease, wild animal attacks, pandemics)
5th seal- Persecution of the Nazarenes
6th seal- Devastating Earthquake
7th seal- Silence in Heaven; Harbinger to the Trumpets
The Trumpets also divide into 7 portions.
1st trumpet- 1/3 of the grass and trees are incinerated by hail, fire, and blood
2nd trumpet- Meteor hits the sea 1/3 of the ocean turns to blood, 1/3 of all sea life is killed, 1/3 of all ships are sunk.
3rd trumpet- Wormwood "meteorite" hits the earth. 1/3 of the freshwater is poisoned or radioactive.
4th trumpet- The sun and moon is darkened by 1/3 or 33.3%.
5th trumpet- Entities that appear as locusts rise from a pit and torment men and women
6th trumpet- Fallen Angels imprisoned under the Euphrates are released and a 200 million man army from the East kills 1/3 of the world population as it invades westward.
7th trumpet- Warning that the bowl judgments are about to be released
The Bowls, 7 parts.
1st bowl- Terrible sores break out on all who took the mark of the beast (+)
2nd bowl- The rest of the ocean turns into blood all life in the sea perishes
3rd bowl- Freshwater sources turn into blood.
4th bowl-The intensity of the sun is magnified and scorches and burns those outdoors
5th bowl- Darkness falls upon the Kingdom of the Beast (much like the plague of darkness on Egypt)
6th bowl- Great army from the East then moves towards the Levant.
7th bowl- Largest world wide earthquake in the history of creation, Babylon the Great is destroyed completely, 100 pound hailstones fall upon the whole world
According to population pyramid the world will be at about 8,067,008,402 in 2024.
Knowing that let us ball park the information we got. (I will take some creative license with the numbers)
Starting population 8,067,008,402
2nd seal: 100,000,000 assumed casualties
3rd seal: 100,000,000 assumed casualties ---7,867,008,402 Population Remaining
4th seal (1/4 of the population): 1,966,725,100 assumed casualties --- 5,900,256,301 Population remaining
5th seal: 200,000,000 assumed casualties
6th seal: 1,000,000 assumed casualties ---5,699,256,301 Population Remaining
1st trumpet: 10,000,000
2nd trumpet: 10,000,000
3rd trumpet: 20,000,000 ---5,659,256,301.5
6th trumpet (1/3 of the population): 1,867,554,579 Casualties --- 3,735,109,158 Population Remaining
1st bowl: 250,000,000
2nd bowl: 250,000,000
3rd bowl: 250,000,000
4th bowl: 200,000,000
5th bowl: ~?~
6th bowl: 100,000,000
7th bowl: 300,000,000 --- 2,385,109,158 Population
Battle of Armageddon: 400,000,000 (all nations and countries) ---1,985,109,158 Population
Things to factor in
Destruction of Babylon the Great (United States) 330 million estimate
Miscellaneous Deaths: 500 million estimate ---1,155,109,158
Destruction of the Kingdom of the Beast by fire 300~500 million estimate (may not cover all individuals who took the mark of the beast.)
---655,109,158 remaining
I feel like I am strongly low balling the casualty numbers. But still even if the only mass casualty events were the 4th seal and the 6th trumpet that is still 4 billion people there. So I guess the moral story is it is going to be very bad.
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